Thursday, September 20, 2018

Deer Hunting, Flash Flooding, and Much Colder Air.

As you walk outside this morning, it feels nothing like late September. Warm, humid, and simply uncomfortable could be used to describe our current conditions. However, if you can survive today, you will outlast these conditions as we move into a much more favorable weather pattern. Archery season opens this Saturday for much of the state. In this blog we will cover your opening morning weather conditions, the chances for heavy rainfall, and the upcoming colder air pattern. 

So, what can those bow hunters expect for Saturday morning? Let's take a look.



If you plan on heading out to the blind or your favorite tree stand, you might bring your best rain gear. Much of the state will be soaking wet early Saturday, as a front ushers in colder air, it will also bring plenty of precipitation! 


The model posted above, the NAM (3-KM), is suggesting plenty of abundant moisture along the cold front. Notice most of the state is covered across the board for 6 AM Saturday. This will continue throughout the morning, with not much of a break in the rain. 

We've also included the 7-day (QPF) below. While amounts could change depending on the track of heavier rainfall, a broad look is suggesting upwards of 5-6 inches over the next 7 days. This could induce some flash flooding issues as the ground becomes saturated. 



In regards to rain chances in general, it appears the best rain chances begin to ramp up Friday evening as rain moves in from the west. This rain could hang around into the middle of next week! Don't worry though, with the pesky rain comes a great reward. 


Looking over the 8-14 Day Outlook from the NOAA, (model courtesy of Pivotalweather.com), MUCH cooler air will become present very soon. With a series of cold fronts, each one becoming stronger, it will become more fall-like very soon. This series of 90-degree days we've recently experienced could very well be the last we see for a long time. 


Just for fun, we've included a long range model for next Saturday (9-29-18). Check out those low 40's for early morning temps! 

In conclusion, opening morning of bow season looks soggy. Flash flooding COULD become an issue over the next 7-days due to heavier rainfall. Lastly, colder air will become more prevalent for late September into early October. We hope you enjoyed this blog, remember to like and share, spread the word!

-AW  

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