Thursday, December 28, 2017

Frigid Start For The New Year


New Year's Day High Temperatures (Courtesy NOAA)
New Year's Day High Temperatures (Courtesy NOAA)
We often see people stating "we haven't had a real winter in a long time". Well, those people are getting their wish this upcoming weekend. The stage is currently set for a large area of Arctic high pressure to dump absolutely frigid temperatures into Arkansas. We could experience a few days of highs below freezing, lows near zero in some areas, and very dangerous wind chill values. The real story of this weekend is the cold temperatures, but with cold weather snow is sometimes a possibility. Yes, we do have a small chance for some snow in parts of Arkansas this weekend. Models have came into an agreement on placement, but as we all know it will likely change. Forecasting snow is only accurate once its here. Let's dive into some models, and go over some minor specifics.








GFS model (courtesy Weatherbell.com)
With the cooler air in place it does appear that a disturbance moving across the state could spark some light snow. For now, and we stress FOR NOW, portions of western and northwest Arkansas appear to have the best chances. The reason we say this is that all models have came into an agreement on this, we have posted three models here to show you. The global forecast model (GFS) originally had large amounts of snow for this weekend, but has backed way off of that. Which is not uncommon for the GFS, now its showing more realistic amounts.



Winter Weather Possible Mid-Week

How awesome has the weather been today? After a nice taste of spring, reality will come crashing back by Tuesday evening. The entire state s...