Temperature probabilities are actually favoring a warming trend over the 6-10 day period. With this being said, a strong shot of cold air looks likely mid-week across the southern plains. This could throw a kink in the above imaged forecast.
By mid-week (Wednesday) a powerful cold front could sweep across the southern plains. This would cool most of us significantly, as temperatures on Tuesday could range in the 60's and 70's across the southern U.S.
On Thanksgiving morning, a winter mix could occur behind the cold front. This is simply one model, but model trends have been consistent as of late. If this model verified, the bulk of the frozen precipitation would fall across regions of Kansas, New Mexico, the Texas panhandle and western Oklahoma before moving northeast.
For most of you, Thanksgiving could result in a raw and rainy day, as temperatures could hover in the low 40's. This appears most probable in Oklahoma and Arkansas, where temperatures will be simply too warm for any frozen precipitation.
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-Vortex Crew
