Thursday, March 1, 2018

More Rainfall Chances - Some Minor Relief

As this blog is being produced, rainfall is STILL on-going for parts of southern and eastern Arkansas. Heavy rainfall has ravaged our state for several days now, with only minor breaks in between. As much as we wish we could type this blog and state there is no more rain chances soon, we cannot do that. Luckily, we will get a break in between our next rain chance. For now, it does not appear we will experience any severe weather with our next system.

March 1st is also the beginning of meteorological Spring, temperatures look to remain stagnant in the 50's to 60's throughout the next several days with night time lows mostly remaining in the mid 30's. In the short term, there is no signs of any crazy cold weather. However, long range anomalies are suggesting some colder air could arrive within the next 10 days or so. This is long range, so it must be taken lightly at this time.

 
When the rain finally exits the state today, we will begin to see some relief. An area of high pressure will eventually settle in over the mid-south, this will lead to limited if any cloud cover and DRY weather.


Our next rain chances look to arrive early next week, possibly on Sunday. Low pressure over the Rocky Mountains will make a track east, with moisture being drug downstream. This will usher moisture into areas across the south. As a result of the moisture more rainfall will be possible, some heavier rainfall is possible. Model agreement is solid at the moment with 2-3 inches possible from this system. Heavier amounts currently look to be placed across central and eastern Arkansas.

Looking over temperatures for the next several days it appears we will remain fairly mild. Daytime highs will remain stagnant in the 50's, with some days climbing into the 60's. Night time lows will remain in the 30's, which is normal for this time of year. Notice Monday's low temperature struggles to climb below 50, this is due to the cloud cover associated with the low pressure system that will cause rain chances.


Lastly, we wanted to take a look at the previous 14-days of rainfall accumulation. Major flooding issues have occurred due to copious amounts of rain we have received. Notice areas across central Arkansas have been slammed with rainfall. In the month of February the town of Mena (Polk County) led the way with rainfall amounts, as they saw 18 inches of rainfall!

-AW Team


Models accredited to:  http://models.weatherbell.com/ - http://www.pivotalweather.com/

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